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The Trade: Paul vs. Westbrook

Project members: Sanjay Suresh, Mitsuko Kitazawa, Nicolas Gomez Bustamante, Nicholas Keller

Project objectives: Determine which stats should be used to compare players.
Analyze and compare results for Chris Paul and Russel Westbrook.
Determine who is the best asset for Houston Rockets.

Backround: This off-season Chris Paul was traded to the Thunders for Russel Westbrook (OKC).
Chris Paul is a good performer and Russel Westbrook is more controversial.
Is trading C. Paul for Westbrook a good deal?

Data: NBA api stats.nba.com (no key needed)
This data is recorded by the NBA, so it is therefore the most accurate

Analysis:
Linear Regression was used to first find a correlation between a common player stat (Plus Minus(+/-)) and a players Win Percentage since winning is the goal
We then used linear regression to see if there was a correlation between a players +/- and the other stats a player records
PlusMinusvsWin
Chris Paul:
Chris Paul
Russell Westbrook:
Russell Westbrook

Team Comparison:
Rockets OKC
Rockets in general had higher number of wins than Thunders
Both teams were a better away team
Their records overall were similar

Player Comparison:
Comparative analysis used career stats from Westbrook and Paul, merged them by Season and Age, matplotlib plots were used to support the analysis

Offense Assits Per Game Turnovers Per Game
AstPerTurnover
Points Per Minute EFG offense
Defense
Rebounds Steals Blocks Defense

Conclusions

  1. Westbrook fills a different type of role than Chris Paul does because of how different the 2 players are.
  2. At this point in their careers, Westbrook provides the most value based on his statistics on the offense and defensive side of the ball
  3. Westbrook regularly scores more points and rebounds more balls in a game than Chris Paul, which provides more opportunities for his team to score.
  4. The statistical analysis shows us that there are many variables in a basketball game that can make it impossible to quantify players against players that are in different situations on their team.

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Russell Westbrook Experiment

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