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Merge pull request remindmodel#1983 from robertpietzcker/2025-02-Cali…
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…bInconvPen

Turn off fesos inconvenience penalties for the moment to prevent calibration instabilities
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@robertpietzcker
robertpietzcker authored Feb 12, 2025
2 parents 046162c + ce12b52 commit 9aebded
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4 changes: 2 additions & 2 deletions config/scenario_config.csv
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title;start;CES_parameters;slurmConfig;regionmapping;extramappings_historic;cm_rcp_scen;subsidizeLearning;cm_prtpScen;capitalMarket;cm_iterative_target_adj;cm_budgetCO2from2020;carbonprice;cm_taxCO2_functionalForm;cm_taxCO2_startyear;cm_peakBudgYr;cm_taxCO2_regiDiff;cm_taxCO2_regiDiff_endYr;cm_emiscen;c_regi_earlyreti_rate;c_tech_earlyreti_rate;cm_fetaxscen;cm_bioenergy_SustTax;cm_33EW;cm_33OAE;cm_frac_NetNegEmi;c_ccsinjecratescen;c_ccscapratescen;cm_CESMkup_build;cm_wasteIncinerationCCSshare;techpol;regipol;cm_implicitQttyTarget;cm_emiMktTarget;cm_NucRegiPol;cm_CoalRegiPol;cm_altFeEmiFac;cm_GDPpopScen;cm_demScen;cm_oil_scen;cm_gas_scen;cm_coal_scen;c_techAssumptScen;cm_nucscen;cm_so2tax_scen;cm_multigasscen;cm_LU_emi_scen;cm_tradecostBio;cm_maxProdBiolc;cm_1stgen_phaseout;c_SSP_forcing_adjust;cm_APscen;cm_EDGEtr_scen;c_changeProdCost;cm_startyear;path_gdx;path_gdx_ref;path_gdx_bau;path_gdx_refpolicycost;description
# H12 SSP2;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
SSP2-NPi-calibrate;calibrate,AMT,compileInTests;calibrate;14;;;;;;;;;NPi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;Mix1;;2005;;;;;SSP2-NPi-calibrate: This reference policy/baseline scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road.
SSP2-NPi-calibrate;calibrate,AMT,compileInTests,calibrateSSP2;calibrate;14;;;;;;;;;NPi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;Mix1;;2005;;;;;SSP2-NPi-calibrate: This reference policy/baseline scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road.
SSP2-NDC;1,AMT,2;;;;;;globallyOptimal;;;3;;NDC;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;1;2030;;SSP2-NPi2025;SSP2-NPi;SSP2-NPi2025;SSP2-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. It assumes NPi2025 until 2025 and has start year 2030. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century.
SSP2-NDCsy2025;1,AMT,2;;;;;;globallyOptimal;;;3;;NDC;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;5;2025;;SSP2-NPi;SSP2-NPi;SSP2-NPi2025;SSP2-NDCsy2025: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. It assumes NPi until 2020 and has start year 2025.The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century.
SSP2-NPi;1,AMT,compileInTests,2;;;;;;;;;0;;NPi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;Mix1;;2005;;;;;SSP2-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (NPi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The NPi assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies.
Expand All @@ -11,7 +11,7 @@ SSP2-PkBudg1000;1,AMT,2;;;;;rcp26;globallyOptimal;;;9;1000;functionalForm;;75;20
SSP2-EcBudg400;1,AMT,2;;;;;rcp26;globallyOptimal;;;5;400;functionalForm;exponential;70;;initialSpread20;GLO 2070;;;;;;1;1;0;;;;2060.GLO 0.9;NDC;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;2;;;;;;;Mix3ICEban;1;2035;;SSP2-NPi2025;;SSP2-NPi2025;SSP2-EcBudg400: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes an end-of-century budget of 400 Gt CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2020 to 2100. This is a high overshoot scenario with delayed climate policy.
SSP2-rollBack;1,AMT,2;;;;;;;;;0;;none;;;;;;0;;;5;;;;;;;;;none;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;Mix1;1;2030;;SSP2-NPi2025;;SSP2-NPi2025;SSP2-rollBack: This rollback of climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 3 called Middle of the Road.
# EU21 SSP2;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
SSP2-EU21-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;14;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;;;;;;;NPi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;Mix1;;2005;;;;;SSP2-EU21-calibration: This baseline scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road.
SSP2-EU21-NPi-calibrate;calibrate,calibrateSSP2;calibrate;14;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;;;;;;;NPi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;Mix1;;2005;;;;;SSP2-EU21-calibration: This baseline scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road.
SSP2-EU21-NDC;1,AMT,2;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;;globallyOptimal;;;3;;NDC;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;1;2030;;SSP2-EU21-NPi2025;SSP2-EU21-NPi;SSP2-EU21-NPi2025;SSP2-EU21-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. It assumes NPi2025 until 2025 and has start year 2030. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century.
SSP2-EU21-NDCsy2025;1,AMT,2;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;;globallyOptimal;;;3;;NDC;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;5;2025;;SSP2-EU21-NPi;SSP2-EU21-NPi;SSP2-EU21-NPi2025;SSP2-EU21-NDCsy2025: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. It assumes NPi until 2020 and has start year 2025. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century.
SSP2-EU21-NPi;1,AMT,2;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;;;;;0;;NPi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;Mix1;;2005;;;;;SSP2-EU21-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (NPi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The NPi assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies.
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12 changes: 6 additions & 6 deletions modules/02_welfare/ineqLognormal/datainput.gms
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Expand Up @@ -11,16 +11,16 @@ $if %cm_less_TS% == "on" pm_welf("2060") = 0.9;

*RP* 2012-03-06: Inconvenience costs on seprod
$IFTHEN.INCONV %cm_INCONV_PENALTY% == "on"
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"coaltr")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0.5; !! In dollar per GJ seprod at 1.000$/cap GDP, or 10$/GJ at 10.000$_GDP/cap
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"biotr")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 1.0; !! In dollar per GJ seprod
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"biotrmod")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0.25; !! In dollar per GJ seprod. Biotrmod is a mix of wood stoves and automated wood pellets for heating, which has lower air pollution and other discomfort effects
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"coaltr")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0; !! for the moment, set InconvPen for fesos to ezero to make calibrations more stable
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"biotr")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 1.0;
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"biotrmod")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0; !! for the moment, set InconvPen for fesos to ezero to make calibrations more stable
*' Transformation of coal to liquids/gases/H2 brings local pollution, which is less accepted at higher incomes -> use the inconvenience cost channel
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"coalftrec")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0.9; !! In dollar per GJ seprod
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"coalftcrec")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0.9; !! equivalent to 4$/GJ at 40.000$_GDP/cap, or 10$/GJ at 100.000$_GDP/cap
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"coalftrec")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0.9;
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"coalftcrec")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0.9;
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"coalgas")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0.9;
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"coalh2")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0.9;
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"coalh2c")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0.9;
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,te)$(ttot.val ge 2005) = p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,te) * 4.3 * 1E-4; !! this is now equivalent to 1$/GJ at 1000$/per Capita in the welfare logarithm
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,te)$(ttot.val ge 2005) = p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,te) * 4.3 * 1E-4; !! convert such that a value of 1 is equivalent to 1$/GJ at 1000$/per Capita in the welfare logarithm
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,te)$(ttot.val ge 2005) = p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,te) * (1/sm_giga_2_non) / sm_GJ_2_TWa; !! conversion util/(GJ/cap) -> util/(TWa/Gcap)
*RP* these values are all calculated on seprod level.
display p02_inconvpen_lap;
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4 changes: 2 additions & 2 deletions modules/02_welfare/utilitarian/datainput.gms
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -11,9 +11,9 @@ pm_welf("2060") = 0.9;

*RP* 2012-03-06: Inconvenience costs on seprod
$IFTHEN.INCONV %cm_INCONV_PENALTY% == "on"
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"coaltr")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0.5; !! In dollar per GJ seprod at 1.000$/cap GDP, or 10$/GJ at 10.000$_GDP/cap
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"coaltr")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0; !! In dollar per GJ seprod at 1.000$/cap GDP, or 10$/GJ at 10.000$_GDP/cap
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"biotr")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 1.0; !! In dollar per GJ seprod
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"biotrmod")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0.25; !! In dollar per GJ seprod. Biotrmod is a mix of wood stoves and automated wood pellets for heating, which has lower air pollution and other discomfort effects
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"biotrmod")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0; !! In dollar per GJ seprod. Biotrmod is a mix of wood stoves and automated wood pellets for heating, which has lower air pollution and other discomfort effects
*' Transformation of coal to liquids/gases/H2 brings local pollution, which is less accepted at higher incomes -> use the inconvenience cost channel
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"coalftrec")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0.9; !! In dollar per GJ seprod
p02_inconvpen_lap(ttot,regi,"coalftcrec")$(ttot.val ge 2005) = sm_D2005_2_D2017 * 0.9; !! equivalent to 4$/GJ at 40.000$_GDP/cap, or 10$/GJ at 100.000$_GDP/cap
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